Nevada Presidential Election Results 2024

22 hours ago
Nevada election Results

Latest results from just now

Candidate Party Votes Percent Chart showing percent

Donald J. TrumpD. TrumpTrump

Republican Rep. 548,894 51.6%

Kamala HarrisK. HarrisHarris

Democrat Dem. 498,835 46.9%

Total reported

1,064,683

Results timing: Counting usually takes days, but new technology and rules could speed up reporting. Postmarked ballots are allowed to arrive up to four days after the election, on Nov. 9.

RenoLas VegasRenoLas Vegas

Votes reported

Circles show margin for leading candidate in the ballots counted so far.

Estimated margin of remaining votes

Circles show our estimate for which candidate leads in the remaining votes.

Circles show margin for leading candidate in the ballots counted so far.

Votes reported and estimated votes remaining County Margin Votes

Percent of votes in

Estimated remaining votes Clark Harris +1.7 745,890 71% 300,000 Washoe Trump +0.17 168,727 64% 94,000 Lyon Trump +45 31,568 92% 3,000 Douglas Trump +35 31,240 88% 4,000 Carson City Trump +14 26,024 85% 5,000 Elko Trump +58 20,710 >95% 1,000 Churchill Trump +50 13,053 >95% <700 Humboldt Trump +56 7,359 >95% <400 White Pine Trump +57 4,240 >95% <100 Storey Trump +39 2,900 88% 400 Nye Trump +66 2,598 9% 25,000 Lincoln Trump +73 2,347 >95% <100 Mineral Trump +35 2,282 88% 300 Pershing Trump +55 2,244 >95% <100 Lander Trump +61 2,070 73% 750 Eureka Trump +78 979 >95% <100 Esmeralda Trump +67 452 85% <100

About this race

About this race

The most diverse battleground state, Nevada has more registered nonpartisan voters than Democrats or Republicans, and Democrats have been winning presidential elections here by smaller and smaller margins. The relatively small number of electoral votes make it less likely to be decisive.

Because of the way the state reports its votes, our live forecast in Nevada is likely to remain very uncertain for a while.

Chance of winning

Needle chart shows the New York Times forecast Very likely Likely Lean Tossup Lean Likely Very likely

Leaning Trump

79% chance of winning

Estimated margin

Needle chart shows the New York Times forecast Range of estimates +10+5+5+10

Trump +4.2

Harris +6 to Trump +15

Chance of winning

Needle chart shows the New York Times forecast Very likely Likely Lean Tossup Lean Likely Very likely

Leaning Trump

79% chance of winning

Estimated margin

Needle chart shows the New York Times forecast Range of estimates +10+5+5+10

Trump +4.2

Harris +6 to Trump +15

Because of the way the state reports its votes, our live forecast in Nevada is likely to remain very uncertain for a while.

Estimate of the final margin over time

The lines below show how the reported margin compares with our estimate of the final margin, which includes a shaded range of our model’s uncertainty. As more votes are counted, the uncertainty around these estimates will narrow.

NYT estimate Reported vote share

Chart showing changes in the estimated margin over time +10Even+10 8 PM

Chance of winning over time

Chart showing changes in the chance of winning over time ; ; 20%40%60%80%100% 8 PM

Share of expected turnout reported

Chart showing changes in the total expected vote over time 20%40%60%80%100% 8 PM

Indicator Weight in current live forecast

Pre-election polls

At the start of the night, our estimate is based on pre-election polls, past election results and demographic data.

4%

Our model

As votes come in, we compare actual results to our pre-election estimates to create a statistical model of the remaining vote.

77%

Actual results

As a county reports more votes, these tabulated results will gradually supersede our previous estimates.

19%

How votes compare with 2020 County Margin Shift from 2020 presidential Votes

Percent of votes in

Elko Trump +58 2.6 points more Republican 20,710 >95% Churchill Trump +50 1.4 points more Republican 13,053 >95% Humboldt Trump +56 2.1 points more Republican 7,359 >95% White Pine Trump +57 1.5 points more Democratic 4,240 >95% Lincoln Trump +73 1.8 points more Republican 2,347 >95% Pershing Trump +55 4.2 points more Republican 2,244 >95% Eureka Trump +78 0.3 points more Republican 979 >95%
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