Toronto Blue Jays at Milwaukee Brewers odds, picks and predictions

Blue Jays vs Brewers

The Toronto Blue Jays (32-33) take on the Milwaukee Brewers (38-27) Monday in the opener of a 3-game set at American Family Field at 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Blue Jays vs. Brewers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Blue Jays won 2-1 last year

The Blue Jays took 2 of 3 in Oakland, concluding with a 6-4 win in 10 innings Sunday as -130 road favorites — the Over (8) hit. The Jays have underachieved offensively this season. Their 3.95 runs per game rank 25th in the league, according to However, they’ve scored 6 or more runs in 3 of their last 4 games. 3B Isiah Kiner-Falefa is hitting .320 with just 1 extra-base hit but an astounding 9 RBIs over the last 7 days.

The Brewers went 2-4 on their recent road trip but took 2 of 3 in Detroit. They were blown out 10-2 Sunday as +148 underdogs but were able to get through the game without a ton of mileage on their bullpen. After 4 down seasons, and a myriad of back issues, LF Christian Yelich looks to be rounding back into All-Star form. He’s hitting .324 with 6 homers and 29 RBIs.

Blue Jays at Brewers projected starters

RHP Jose Berrios vs. RHP Colin Rea

Berrios (5-4, 2.80 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has a 1.11 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 6.7 K/9 in 80 1/3 innings.

Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 3 BB, 2 K in 3-2 home loss to Baltimore Orioles Wednesday 4 career starts vs. Brewers: 2-2, 4.57 ERA (21 2/3 IP, 11 ER), 0.88 WHIP, 10.4 K/9; numbers skewed by 8 ER in 2 2/3 IP June 26, 2022

Rea (4-2, 3.53 ERA) makes his 11th start and 13th appearance. He has a 1.35 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 6.2 K/9 in 63 2/3 innings.

Last outing: No-decision, 4 IP (entered in 2nd inn.), 0 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 2 K in 2-1, 10-inning loss at Philadelphia Phillies Tuesday Last start: No-decision, 5 1/3 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 5 K in 6-4 home win vs. Chicago Cubs May 30 1 career start vs. Blue Jays in 2016: Loss, 6 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 4 BB, 4 K in 4-2 setback at Toronto Home/road splits: 2-1, 3.07 ERA (29 1/3 IP, 10 ER), 1.13 WHIP in 5 home starts; 2-1, 3.93 ERA (34 1/3 IP, 15 ER), 1.54 WHIP in 7 road outings (5 starts)

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Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 4:45 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Blue Jays +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Brewers -120 (bet $120 to win $100) Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Blue Jays +1.5 (-210) | Brewers -1.5 (+160) Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -115 | U: -105) Blue Jays at Brewers picks and predictions Prediction

Blue Jays 5, Brewers 3


Berrios is the X-factor here. He has been solid with a 2.77 ERA (26 IP, 8 ER) over his last 4 starts. Outside of the 8-ER blowup he had in Milwaukee in ’22, he has been very reliable against the Brewers. In his previous start at American Family Field before that debacle, he tossed 6 no-hit innings with 12 K’s in a 2-0 victory for the Minnesota Twins.

The Jays’ bats are awakening, and Rea doesn’t have the pure stuff to keep them at bay.

TAKE BUE JAYS (+100) at even-money.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS since we’re already backing Toronto’s moneyline.

However, I love JOSE BERRIOS OVER 17.5 OUTS (-160). The price isn’t great, but he has went 6+ innings in 5 straight and 6 of 7 starts.

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We’re projecting a push here, and it could go either way depending on what they do with the retractable roof. The forecast calls for 60 degrees with a light 5-mph breeze blowing left to right.


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