The Toronto Blue Jays (32-33) take on the Milwaukee Brewers (38-27) Monday in the opener of a 3-game set at American Family Field at 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Blue Jays vs. Brewers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: First meeting; Blue Jays won 2-1 last year
The Blue Jays took 2 of 3 in Oakland, concluding with a 6-4 win in 10 innings Sunday as -130 road favorites — the Over (8) hit. The Jays have underachieved offensively this season. Their 3.95 runs per game rank 25th in the league, according to Teamrankings.com. However, they’ve scored 6 or more runs in 3 of their last 4 games. 3B Isiah Kiner-Falefa is hitting .320 with just 1 extra-base hit but an astounding 9 RBIs over the last 7 days.
The Brewers went 2-4 on their recent road trip but took 2 of 3 in Detroit. They were blown out 10-2 Sunday as +148 underdogs but were able to get through the game without a ton of mileage on their bullpen. After 4 down seasons, and a myriad of back issues, LF Christian Yelich looks to be rounding back into All-Star form. He’s hitting .324 with 6 homers and 29 RBIs.
Blue Jays at Brewers projected startersRHP Jose Berrios vs. RHP Colin Rea
Berrios (5-4, 2.80 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has a 1.11 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 6.7 K/9 in 80 1/3 innings.
Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 3 BB, 2 K in 3-2 home loss to Baltimore Orioles Wednesday 4 career starts vs. Brewers: 2-2, 4.57 ERA (21 2/3 IP, 11 ER), 0.88 WHIP, 10.4 K/9; numbers skewed by 8 ER in 2 2/3 IP June 26, 2022Rea (4-2, 3.53 ERA) makes his 11th start and 13th appearance. He has a 1.35 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 6.2 K/9 in 63 2/3 innings.
Last outing: No-decision, 4 IP (entered in 2nd inn.), 0 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 2 K in 2-1, 10-inning loss at Philadelphia Phillies Tuesday Last start: No-decision, 5 1/3 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 5 K in 6-4 home win vs. Chicago Cubs May 30 1 career start vs. Blue Jays in 2016: Loss, 6 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 4 BB, 4 K in 4-2 setback at Toronto Home/road splits: 2-1, 3.07 ERA (29 1/3 IP, 10 ER), 1.13 WHIP in 5 home starts; 2-1, 3.93 ERA (34 1/3 IP, 15 ER), 1.54 WHIP in 7 road outings (5 starts)Win your fantasy baseball league with BaseballHQ.com. For decades, BHQ has been helping players just like you win! BHQ offers Draft Prep and full-season subscriptions. Sign up today and start winning!
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 4:45 p.m. ET.
Moneyline (ML): Blue Jays +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Brewers -120 (bet $120 to win $100) Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Blue Jays +1.5 (-210) | Brewers -1.5 (+160) Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -115 | U: -105) Blue Jays at Brewers picks and predictions PredictionBlue Jays 5, Brewers 3
MoneylineBerrios is the X-factor here. He has been solid with a 2.77 ERA (26 IP, 8 ER) over his last 4 starts. Outside of the 8-ER blowup he had in Milwaukee in ’22, he has been very reliable against the Brewers. In his previous start at American Family Field before that debacle, he tossed 6 no-hit innings with 12 K’s in a 2-0 victory for the Minnesota Twins.
The Jays’ bats are awakening, and Rea doesn’t have the pure stuff to keep them at bay.
TAKE BUE JAYS (+100) at even-money.
Run line/Against the spreadPASS since we’re already backing Toronto’s moneyline.
However, I love JOSE BERRIOS OVER 17.5 OUTS (-160). The price isn’t great, but he has went 6+ innings in 5 straight and 6 of 7 starts.
Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!
Over/UnderWe’re projecting a push here, and it could go either way depending on what they do with the retractable roof. The forecast calls for 60 degrees with a light 5-mph breeze blowing left to right.
PASS.
While waiting for the first pitch or on off days, you can fill that time with online casino games including slots, blackjack and more, at some of the best legal casinos in the US.
For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
Follow Ryan Dodson on Twitter/X. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and like us on Facebook.
Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
Sign up for our newsletter to get updates to your inbox, and also receive offers from us, our affiliates and partners. By signing up you agree to our Privacy Policy
